Lumina Markets icon
Lumina Markets icon

Lumina Markets

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Lumina is a prediction market app for trading the outcomes of real-world events. Trade event contracts on elections, the economy, culture, tech, crypto and the weather, with prices that reflect the market's estimate of what happens next.

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Cost / License

  • Usage-based
  • Proprietary

Since

  • New

Platforms

  • iPhone
  • iPad
  • Online
  • Android
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Lumina Markets was added to AlternativeTo by lm_morgan on and this page was last updated .

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What is Lumina Markets?

Lumina is a prediction market app for trading the outcomes of real-world events. Trade event contracts on elections, the economy, culture, tech, crypto and the weather, with prices that reflect the market's estimate of what happens next.

Lumina turns real-world questions into contracts you can trade. Will the Senate change hands? Will inflation come in above forecast? Which AI lab ships the best model? Every market has a Yes side and a No side, and its price reflects how likely traders think the outcome is.

WHAT YOU CAN TRADE: ELECTIONS & POLITICS: midterm elections, House and Senate control, governor races, primaries, legislation and appointments. ECONOMY: CPI prints, jobs and unemployment numbers, Fed rate decisions, GDP growth, recession calls, prices at the pump. FINANCE & CRYPTO: S&P 500 and Nasdaq levels, bitcoin and ether prices. TECH & SCIENCE: AI model releases, product launches, space missions. CLIMATE & WEATHER: tomorrow's high in major cities, record heat, snowfall, hurricane seasons. WORLD: elections abroad and international events. New markets are added regularly.

THE BASICS • Every contract settles at $1 or $0, based on the outcome. • Prices start at 2¢. A contract priced at 38¢ implies roughly a 38% chance. • Example: 100 contracts on the Yes side at 38¢ cost $38. If the market resolves Yes, they settle at $100. If it resolves No, they settle at $0 and you lose the $38, plus fees. • Positions can be closed before settlement or held until the outcome is determined.

REGULATED PLATFORM Lumina Markets Inc. is a CFTC-registered introducing broker and NFA member (NFA ID 0576536). Your account is carried by Interactive Brokers LLC, and every trade executes on ForecastEx, a CFTC-designated exchange owned by Interactive Brokers Group.

Trade your world.

US persons only, 21+. Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all. Event contracts are the subject of ongoing litigation and regulatory review. Contracts may be modified, suspended, or terminated on little or no notice, and settlement may occur on non-standard terms.