

Seldon Vault
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Multi-agent system analyzes over 200 sources daily, producing regular probabilistic forecasts across global domains like politics, economics, technology, and military. Analyst agents propose, debate, and refine forecasts with Bayesian inference in English and Russian. Free, open API.
Cost / License
- Free
- Proprietary
Platforms
- Online
Seldon Vault News & Activities
Highlights All activities
Recent activities
- Danilo_Venom added Seldon Vault as alternative to War monitor
- Danilo_Venom updated Seldon Vault
- inblack added Seldon Vault
- inblack thinks Forecasting is a important feature of Seldon Vault
Seldon Vault information
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What is Seldon Vault?
Seldon Vault is a multi-agent AI system that generates daily probabilistic forecasts for global events across geopolitics, economics, technology, military, cybersecurity, social dynamics, and climate.
Inspired by Hari Seldon's psychohistory from Isaac Asimov's Foundation series.
How it works:
- 8 specialized AI analyst agents process 200+ news sources daily (RSS, GDELT, UCDP)
- Each analyst proposes forecasts with probabilities and reasoning
- An adversarial Skeptic agent (Claude Opus) tries to disprove every forecast, with web search fact-checking
- A Seldon Arbiter (Claude Opus) synthesizes surviving forecasts into the daily digest
- LLM Council: each analyst runs across 3 different AI models (DeepSeek, GPT-5.4, Claude) and they debate
- Forecasts update every 6 hours via Bayesian inference with likelihood ratios
- Cascade narratives link forecasts into causal chains (war ? oil ? recession)
- System tracks its own accuracy with Brier Scores
Fully bilingual (English + Russian). Public API with 15+ endpoints. Interactive world map. D3 causal graphs. Free forever, no signup required.



